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Qual 152018 Big Bang!
Red311
5050204.6
862183.9
6861144.8
Blue310
4405179.2
4130161.6
3604164.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3983170100200500600700311310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5050
#3
204.60.0
204.6→204.6
Auto23.7
Teleop148.9
End33.8
red by 25.4
4405
#23
179.20.0
179.2→179.2
Auto21.5
Teleop134.2
End21.8
Second
862
#4
183.90.0
183.9→183.9
Auto21.4
Teleop142.6
End18.9
red by 19.7
3604
#1
164.10.0
164.1→164.1
Auto19.3
Teleop120.7
End20.7
Third
6861
#22
144.80.0
144.8→144.8
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
blue by 16.8
4130
#8
161.60.0
161.6→161.6
Auto17.2
Teleop120.5
End24.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest odds91%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss odds32%Face the Boss odds