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Red256
1481146.9
4405179.2
503176.4
Blue299
6618177.0
7178136.8
998660.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4122660100200300500600700256299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#23
179.20.0
179.2179.2
Auto21.5
Teleop134.2
End21.8
red by 2.1
6618
#20
177.00.0
177.0177.0
Auto19.3
Teleop131.8
End24.0
Second
503
#7
176.40.0
176.4176.4
Auto22.0
Teleop123.0
End29.7
red by 39.6
7178
#29
136.80.0
136.8136.8
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End16.6
Third
1481
#18
146.90.0
146.9146.9
Auto15.1
Teleop116.8
End17.8
red by 86.8
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest odds54%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss odds8%Face the Boss odds