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Red414
862183.9
4130161.6
5498125.9
Blue57
815138.7
998760.1
5577144.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371277020060080041457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#4
183.90.0
183.9183.9
Auto21.4
Teleop142.6
End18.9
red by 39.9
5577
#32
144.00.0
144.0144.0
Auto16.9
Teleop110.3
End15.2
Second
161.60.0
161.6161.6
Auto17.2
Teleop120.5
End24.6
red by 22.8
815
#34
138.70.0
138.7138.7
Auto18.9
Teleop104.9
End15.7
Third
5498
#28
125.90.0
125.9125.9
Auto18.1
Teleop93.3
End14.8
red by 65.8
9987
#16
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest odds53%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds