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Red280
998760.1
2832156.0
4130161.6
Blue239
5530165.1
1732159.2
313115.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3213480100200400500600700800280239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.60.0
161.6161.6
Auto17.2
Teleop120.5
End24.6
blue by 3.5
5530
#21
165.10.0
165.1165.1
Auto19.7
Teleop129.5
End16.5
Second
156.00.0
156.0156.0
Auto20.2
Teleop109.8
End26.3
blue by 3.2
1732
#12
159.20.0
159.2159.2
Auto24.6
Teleop116.3
End17.7
Third
9987
#16
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 55.8
313
#27
115.90.0
115.9115.9
Auto17.4
Teleop84.6
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest odds77%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds