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Red263
308167.5
6618177.0
6914126.0
Blue413
5090124.4
5530165.1
4405179.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34236702006008001,0001,2001,400263413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#20
177.00.0
177.0177.0
Auto19.3
Teleop131.8
End24.0
blue by 2.1
4405
#23
179.20.0
179.2179.2
Auto21.5
Teleop134.2
End21.8
Second
308
#30
167.50.0
167.5167.5
Auto20.4
Teleop112.8
End37.3
red by 2.4
5530
#21
165.10.0
165.1165.1
Auto19.7
Teleop129.5
End16.5
Third
6914
#26
126.00.0
126.0126.0
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End20.0
red by 1.5
5090
#24
124.40.0
124.4124.4
Auto17.9
Teleop92.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest odds69%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
36%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds