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Red369
439098.6
503176.4
3604164.1
Blue175
7178136.8
4130161.6
1732159.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326336150200250300400450369175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#7
176.40.0
176.4176.4
Auto22.0
Teleop123.0
End29.7
red by 14.9
161.60.0
161.6161.6
Auto17.2
Teleop120.5
End24.6
Second
164.10.0
164.1164.1
Auto19.3
Teleop120.7
End20.7
red by 5.0
1732
#12
159.20.0
159.2159.2
Auto24.6
Teleop116.3
End17.7
Third
4390
#14
98.60.0
98.698.6
Auto15.2
Teleop72.9
End7.1
blue by 38.2
7178
#29
136.80.0
136.8136.8
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest odds89%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss odds19%Face the Boss odds