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Red207
313115.9
998860.1
998660.1
Blue384
2832156.0
1481146.9
5502131.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2363780100300500600700800207384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
313
#27
115.90.0
115.9115.9
Auto17.4
Teleop84.6
End14.8
blue by 40.1
156.00.0
156.0156.0
Auto20.2
Teleop109.8
End26.3
Second
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 86.8
1481
#18
146.90.0
146.9146.9
Auto15.1
Teleop116.8
End17.8
Third
9988
#31
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 71.3
5502
#11
131.50.0
131.5131.5
Auto16.1
Teleop97.1
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest odds64%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds6%Face the Boss odds