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Red383
5530163.9
5046168.4
2620120.7
Blue219
1481146.9
5053156.0
4838118.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356300100200400500600700383219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.40.2
167.2167.4
Auto20.8
Teleop131.9
End16.3
red by 12.3
156.00.7
154.8155.5
Auto20.5
Teleop119.8
End17.7
Second
163.90.2
162.5162.7
Auto23.2
Teleop125.7
End16.9
red by 17.0
1481
#15
146.90.4
146.2146.6
Auto15.1
Teleop116.8
End17.8
Third
2620
#16
120.70.4
118.3118.7
Auto16.3
Teleop85.6
End21.6
red by 2.6
4838
#32
118.10.0
118.2118.2
Auto16.1
Teleop85.1
End16.1