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Red446
4405184.6
1189194.4
5915139.8
Blue239
5901118.6
6615130.3
4737134.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415237100200300500600700446239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.40.7
198.4197.7
Auto22.7
Teleop143.8
End23.1
red by 60.0
4737
#23
134.30.0
134.4134.3
Auto15.4
Teleop104.4
End15.0
Second
184.60.4
186.8186.4
Auto23.0
Teleop132.8
End24.8
red by 54.3
6615
#17
130.30.5
129.8130.3
Auto16.8
Teleop97.0
End18.8
Third
5915
#31
139.80.0
139.9139.9
Auto16.6
Teleop106.3
End16.4
red by 21.2
5901
#12
118.60.1
118.4118.6
Auto18.6
Teleop89.5
End9.6