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Red199
313115.9
2137156.9
6528107.4
Blue346
2834171.7
5901118.6
247156.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232365100200300400500600199346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#14
156.90.8
149.1149.8
Auto21.7
Teleop111.1
End20.7
blue by 14.8
171.71.1
155.7156.8
Auto20.6
Teleop136.9
End16.1
Second
313
#27
115.90.6
108.7108.1
Auto17.4
Teleop84.6
End14.8
blue by 40.1
247
#18
156.00.9
149.3150.2
Auto19.6
Teleop113.3
End20.7
Third
6528
#37
107.41.8
109.4111.2
Auto15.0
Teleop82.2
End9.4
blue by 11.1
5901
#12
118.61.5
120.9119.4
Auto18.6
Teleop89.5
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed