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Red181
6057102.6
4737134.3
484094.4
Blue266
1076113.7
4395144.4
2620120.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265295100200400500181266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4737
#23
134.31.2
133.8134.9
Auto15.4
Teleop104.4
End15.0
blue by 10.1
4395
#11
144.41.6
131.2132.9
Auto15.4
Teleop116.2
End11.2
Second
6057
#28
102.60.3
105.5105.2
Auto14.7
Teleop81.4
End6.4
blue by 18.1
2620
#16
120.70.7
111.2111.9
Auto16.3
Teleop85.6
End21.6
Third
4840
#34
94.41.3
88.990.3
Auto15.6
Teleop71.1
End6.9
blue by 19.4
1076
#25
113.71.2
118.4117.2
Auto16.3
Teleop81.5
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
5%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed