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Red172
7145108.3
6152103.5
6615130.3
Blue347
5217112.9
2834171.7
240100.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223170100400500172347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#17
130.30.2
123.3123.5
Auto16.8
Teleop97.0
End18.8
blue by 41.4
171.71.0
156.8157.8
Auto20.6
Teleop136.9
End16.1
Second
7145
#30
108.31.0
105.2106.2
Auto16.5
Teleop85.2
End3.8
blue by 4.6
5217
#20
112.90.4
113.9114.2
Auto14.8
Teleop95.7
End2.4
Third
6152
#41
103.55.3
81.686.9
Auto11.6
Teleop82.0
End11.0
red by 3.3
240
#35
100.21.7
107.5105.8
Auto17.3
Teleop74.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed