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Red317
5090140.0
2834171.7
7145108.3
Blue283
484094.4
5907173.0
5915139.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311299200250350400450317283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.70.6
159.3159.9
Auto20.6
Teleop136.9
End16.1
blue by 1.3
173.00.7
165.6166.3
Auto21.9
Teleop131.2
End21.2
Second
5090
#13
140.00.3
135.0134.6
Auto16.5
Teleop98.7
End23.2
red by 0.2
5915
#31
139.81.3
133.4134.6
Auto16.6
Teleop106.3
End16.4
Third
7145
#30
108.30.3
107.2106.9
Auto16.5
Teleop85.2
End3.8
red by 13.9
4840
#34
94.40.3
91.992.2
Auto15.6
Teleop71.1
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed