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Red217
1481146.9
5619103.1
6057102.6
Blue377
2137156.9
4998123.7
7145108.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278303100150200250350400450217377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#15
146.90.6
144.4143.8
Auto15.1
Teleop116.8
End17.8
blue by 10.0
2137
#14
156.90.3
150.8151.0
Auto21.7
Teleop111.1
End20.7
Second
5619
#22
103.10.5
101.9102.4
Auto16.6
Teleop76.8
End10.6
blue by 20.6
4998
#21
123.70.3
119.3119.0
Auto16.9
Teleop92.1
End13.6
Third
6057
#28
102.60.2
102.6102.4
Auto14.7
Teleop81.4
End6.4
blue by 5.7
7145
#30
108.30.2
106.9107.1
Auto16.5
Teleop85.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed