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Red265
5577144.0
2137156.9
717594.9
Blue408
5090140.0
4998123.7
1189194.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2524040100200300500600265408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#14
156.91.1
151.0152.1
Auto21.7
Teleop111.1
End20.7
blue by 37.5
194.41.1
194.6195.6
Auto22.7
Teleop143.8
End23.1
Second
144.02.6
134.6137.2
Auto16.9
Teleop110.3
End15.2
red by 4.0
5090
#13
140.00.9
134.8135.7
Auto16.5
Teleop98.7
End23.2
Third
7175
#38
94.90.3
100.099.7
Auto17.9
Teleop73.6
End2.7
blue by 28.8
4998
#21
123.70.5
119.0119.5
Auto16.9
Teleop92.1
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed