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Red171
1076113.7
5467145.5
4998123.7
Blue399
2834171.7
6570119.2
5530163.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248383100200300500600171399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5467
#26
145.50.9
146.9146.0
Auto16.3
Teleop113.8
End16.8
blue by 26.2
171.71.1
162.7163.8
Auto20.6
Teleop136.9
End16.1
Second
4998
#21
123.70.8
119.5120.3
Auto16.9
Teleop92.1
End13.6
blue by 40.2
163.92.6
155.4157.9
Auto23.2
Teleop125.7
End16.9
Third
1076
#25
113.70.7
115.7115.0
Auto16.3
Teleop81.5
End17.4
blue by 5.4
6570
#24
119.20.0
116.9116.9
Auto14.9
Teleop83.6
End25.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed