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Red500
2834171.7
5577144.0
1189194.4
Blue287
5467145.5
6616119.6
2620120.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427218100300500600700500287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.40.9
196.9197.8
Auto22.7
Teleop143.8
End23.1
red by 48.9
5467
#26
145.50.9
146.0145.1
Auto16.3
Teleop113.8
End16.8
Second
171.71.4
163.8165.2
Auto20.6
Teleop136.9
End16.1
red by 51.0
2620
#16
120.70.4
115.9116.3
Auto16.3
Teleop85.6
End21.6
Third
144.01.4
139.1140.6
Auto16.9
Teleop110.3
End15.2
red by 24.3
6616
#19
119.61.3
116.0117.4
Auto18.4
Teleop89.6
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed