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Red132
5065104.7
1076113.7
313115.9
Blue439
2137156.9
5915139.8
1481146.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247364100200300400500132439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
313
#27
115.90.5
108.1108.7
Auto17.4
Teleop84.6
End14.8
blue by 40.9
2137
#14
156.90.1
149.2149.1
Auto21.7
Teleop111.1
End20.7
Second
1076
#25
113.70.3
118.6118.4
Auto16.3
Teleop81.5
End17.4
blue by 33.2
1481
#15
146.91.1
140.0141.2
Auto15.1
Teleop116.8
End17.8
Third
5065
#40
104.70.5
119.2118.7
Auto13.4
Teleop82.1
End6.1
blue by 35.1
5915
#31
139.81.6
126.1127.7
Auto16.6
Teleop106.3
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed