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Red368
5530163.9
1481146.9
5046168.4
Blue233
815138.7
5907173.0
4395144.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35533402006008001,0001,200368233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.40.2
167.0167.2
Auto20.8
Teleop131.9
End16.3
blue by 4.6
173.01.3
170.7172.0
Auto21.9
Teleop131.2
End21.2
Second
163.90.4
162.1162.5
Auto23.2
Teleop125.7
End16.9
red by 19.4
4395
#11
144.41.3
143.0144.3
Auto15.4
Teleop116.2
End11.2
Third
1481
#15
146.91.0
145.2146.2
Auto15.1
Teleop116.8
End17.8
red by 8.1
815
#8
138.72.0
134.8136.8
Auto18.9
Teleop104.9
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed