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Red218
247156.0
5090140.0
4998123.7
Blue277
5530163.9
5046168.4
2620120.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291374100200500600700218277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#18
156.00.1
155.9156.0
Auto19.6
Teleop113.3
End20.7
blue by 12.4
168.40.2
167.6167.8
Auto20.8
Teleop131.9
End16.3
Second
5090
#13
140.00.2
139.7139.9
Auto16.5
Teleop98.7
End23.2
blue by 23.9
163.90.2
163.0163.2
Auto23.2
Teleop125.7
End16.9
Third
4998
#21
123.70.4
123.0123.4
Auto16.9
Teleop92.1
End13.6
red by 3.0
2620
#16
120.70.4
119.2119.6
Auto16.3
Teleop85.6
End21.6