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Red200
4405184.6
1189194.4
5915139.8
Blue455
5907173.0
815138.7
5467145.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398312100200500600700200455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.40.7
197.0196.3
Auto22.7
Teleop143.8
End23.1
red by 21.4
173.00.2
172.5172.7
Auto21.9
Teleop131.2
End21.2
Second
184.60.4
186.1185.7
Auto23.0
Teleop132.8
End24.8
red by 39.1
5467
#26
145.50.1
145.2145.3
Auto16.3
Teleop113.8
End16.8
Third
5915
#31
139.80.0
140.0140.0
Auto16.6
Teleop106.3
End16.4
red by 1.1
815
#8
138.70.4
137.9138.3
Auto18.9
Teleop104.9
End15.7