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Red372
226148.2
2960158.2
2337216.1
Blue142
302199.6
3538200.6
3641173.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26537202006008001,000372142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#12
216.10.5
217.8217.4
Auto21.7
Teleop166.4
End27.2
red by 15.5
3538
#24
200.60.3
200.9200.6
Auto21.2
Teleop159.3
End20.6
Second
158.20.0
157.5157.5
Auto22.5
Teleop127.5
End5.1
blue by 41.4
302
#29
199.60.8
200.4199.6
Auto19.1
Teleop163.0
End12.9
Third
226
#26
148.20.6
148.8148.2
Auto17.9
Teleop116.1
End13.9
blue by 24.9
3641
#11
173.10.0
173.1173.1
Auto22.0
Teleop140.5
End8.8