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Red449
3539187.4
3414128.0
2834204.6
Blue155
439091.6
4961151.9
5577116.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41418106008001,000449155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.60.1
204.3204.3
Auto25.0
Teleop153.8
End24.1
red by 52.7
4961
#14
151.90.1
151.8151.9
Auto25.0
Teleop115.0
End10.1
Second
187.40.2
187.7187.5
Auto23.1
Teleop142.1
End19.5
red by 70.8
116.60.1
116.5116.6
Auto17.3
Teleop93.5
End5.9
Third
3414
#23
128.00.8
128.8128.0
Auto15.3
Teleop103.5
End6.6
red by 36.3
4390
#31
91.60.1
91.891.6
Auto15.0
Teleop70.4
End5.1