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Red338
4779146.8
3539187.4
1504130.5
Blue183
4961151.9
469160.6
3414128.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35533202006008001,0001,200338183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.40.3
190.6190.3
Auto23.1
Teleop142.1
End19.5
red by 26.8
469
#20
160.60.7
163.9164.6
Auto17.8
Teleop114.3
End22.9
Second
146.80.5
148.6148.0
Auto20.0
Teleop112.2
End12.0
blue by 5.1
4961
#14
151.90.1
157.5157.4
Auto25.0
Teleop115.0
End10.1
Third
1504
#10
130.51.0
130.0131.0
Auto20.2
Teleop100.8
End7.5
red by 2.5
3414
#23
128.01.3
144.1142.9
Auto15.3
Teleop103.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed