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Red368
68146.7
503166.8
51144.4
Blue203
2832134.9
3641173.1
226148.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311305200250350400368203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#18
166.81.3
168.9167.6
Auto22.7
Teleop121.2
End19.6
blue by 6.3
3641
#11
173.10.0
173.6173.6
Auto22.0
Teleop140.5
End8.8
Second
68
#17
146.70.6
146.6146.0
Auto22.4
Teleop106.4
End16.0
blue by 1.6
226
#26
148.21.5
150.3148.8
Auto17.9
Teleop116.1
End13.9
Third
51
#15
144.41.0
145.1144.1
Auto18.7
Teleop111.2
End12.5
red by 9.5
2832
#28
134.91.6
140.5139.0
Auto19.0
Teleop102.7
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed