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Red240
1189170.6
5436168.5
302199.6
Blue379
3539187.4
4961151.9
3641173.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327332200250300350400240379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#29
199.61.8
203.0201.2
Auto19.1
Teleop163.0
End12.9
red by 12.2
187.41.5
189.3187.9
Auto23.1
Teleop142.1
End19.5
Second
1189
#22
170.62.6
174.1171.5
Auto20.0
Teleop127.9
End18.4
blue by 2.5
3641
#11
173.10.6
173.6173.1
Auto22.0
Teleop140.5
End8.8
Third
5436
#27
168.50.2
169.6169.4
Auto22.0
Teleop125.8
End20.1
red by 16.6
4961
#14
151.90.3
152.1151.7
Auto25.0
Teleop115.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsMissed97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed