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Red401
1684183.8
2834204.6
3604157.9
Blue142
503166.8
548162.9
469160.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37430102006008001,0001,200401142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.60.6
205.0204.4
Auto25.0
Teleop153.8
End24.1
red by 37.8
503
#18
166.80.2
167.6167.4
Auto22.7
Teleop121.2
End19.6
Second
183.81.3
185.6184.2
Auto23.5
Teleop139.3
End17.5
red by 20.9
548
#6
162.90.9
162.4163.3
Auto18.3
Teleop129.2
End15.6
Third
157.90.3
157.7157.3
Auto19.3
Teleop116.8
End20.1
blue by 2.7
469
#20
160.60.3
161.8161.6
Auto17.8
Teleop114.3
End22.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsMissed41%Face the Boss oddsMissed