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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Bots on the Bay
Red425
5314156.1
6120153.8
5714122.9
Blue199
4376142.6
3618140.6
5534125.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3292690100200300400500600425199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#18
156.10.5
157.7→157.2
Auto19.8
Teleop125.2
End8.8
red by 13.4
4376
#9
142.60.3
142.9→142.6
Auto15.8
Teleop115.6
End8.0
Second
6120
#2
153.80.8
149.6→150.5
Auto17.3
Teleop114.0
End25.0
red by 13.2
3618
#7
140.60.3
140.9→140.6
Auto20.0
Teleop110.5
End5.8
Third
5714
#21
122.90.7
125.4→124.7
Auto14.9
Teleop87.4
End18.4
blue by 2.7
5534
#19
125.60.4
126.0→125.6
Auto22.6
Teleop89.8
End10.2