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Red243
7244119.3
5314156.1
5525126.7
Blue294
5714122.9
4983146.2
7250118.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3252840100200400500243294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#18
156.10.6
162.5161.9
Auto19.8
Teleop125.2
End8.8
red by 9.8
146.21.6
151.2149.7
Auto19.5
Teleop108.0
End18.2
Second
5525
#13
126.71.9
133.9132.0
Auto17.6
Teleop90.7
End16.5
red by 3.9
5714
#21
122.90.1
130.0130.0
Auto14.9
Teleop87.4
End18.4
Third
7244
#11
119.30.1
120.1120.2
Auto17.2
Teleop91.1
End12.5
red by 0.6
7250
#12
118.81.7
121.6119.9
Auto20.4
Teleop85.9
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed