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Red266
6121154.4
9230101.3
1711145.5
Blue376
5505174.6
5502131.8
6077164.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523660100200300500600700800266376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.40.3
155.3155.0
Auto21.5
Teleop113.4
End18.2
blue by 20.1
5505
#17
174.62.4
179.3176.8
Auto21.2
Teleop133.5
End17.3
Second
1711
#22
145.51.8
148.6146.8
Auto17.6
Teleop112.8
End13.6
blue by 19.3
6077
#16
164.82.1
168.0165.9
Auto19.7
Teleop126.6
End17.0
Third
9230
#20
101.32.1
97.599.7
Auto15.6
Teleop84.3
End2.3
blue by 30.5
131.81.0
128.8129.9
Auto18.0
Teleop97.0
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed