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Red286
5183126.2
5213116.0
4376142.6
Blue215
9230101.3
5534125.6
5314156.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291318100200400500600700286215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.60.3
147.8148.1
Auto15.8
Teleop115.6
End8.0
blue by 13.4
5314
#18
156.10.6
163.2163.8
Auto19.8
Teleop125.2
End8.8
Second
5183
#24
126.20.5
128.8129.3
Auto14.7
Teleop96.9
End15.6
red by 0.6
5534
#19
125.60.3
133.4133.1
Auto22.6
Teleop89.8
End10.2
Third
5213
#23
116.00.4
122.7123.0
Auto16.3
Teleop85.6
End11.8
red by 14.7
9230
#20
101.34.9
92.096.9
Auto15.6
Teleop84.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed