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Red377
1025167.4
3098160.8
519795.3
Blue237
123138.3
1189178.7
2224100.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324308100200400500600700377237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.40.7
165.9166.7
Auto24.1
Teleop124.9
End22.8
blue by 11.3
178.71.1
176.7177.7
Auto20.7
Teleop125.8
End32.5
Second
160.80.8
159.2160.0
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End19.9
red by 22.4
123
#8
138.30.6
137.3137.9
Auto19.5
Teleop106.5
End14.5
Third
5197
#32
95.30.4
94.594.9
Auto11.3
Teleop75.6
End12.6
blue by 5.1
2224
#24
100.40.4
99.7100.1
Auto14.6
Teleop78.1
End8.7