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Red364
123138.3
1189178.7
2224100.4
Blue229
5915126.1
7188105.4
5577118.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357226100300400500600700364229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.71.0
173.6174.6
Auto20.7
Teleop125.8
End32.5
red by 52.6
5915
#13
126.10.5
125.5126.1
Auto14.9
Teleop99.1
End15.9
Second
123
#8
138.30.4
135.9136.3
Auto19.5
Teleop106.5
End14.5
red by 19.9
5577
#14
118.50.5
117.9118.5
Auto13.5
Teleop93.4
End15.7
Third
2224
#24
100.40.2
98.999.2
Auto14.6
Teleop78.1
End8.7
blue by 5.0
7188
#11
105.40.2
105.2105.4
Auto13.7
Teleop83.6
End8.3