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Red281
123138.3
2224100.4
5756113.3
Blue136
339892.7
5915126.1
7224103.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232233140180200220240260280281136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#8
138.30.3
123.9124.2
Auto19.5
Teleop106.5
End14.5
red by 12.3
5915
#13
126.16.9
102.9109.7
Auto14.9
Teleop99.1
End15.9
Second
5756
#22
113.35.2
97.8102.9
Auto13.5
Teleop88.3
End13.0
red by 9.9
7224
#26
103.48.0
87.895.8
Auto17.8
Teleop81.4
End1.9
Third
2224
#24
100.44.0
93.297.2
Auto14.6
Teleop78.1
End8.7
red by 7.7
3398
#25
92.73.2
90.393.5
Auto14.7
Teleop71.4
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed