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Red170
5555122.7
5577118.5
6958108.2
Blue179
6567110.0
547892.0
7188105.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25320350100150300350400450170179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5555
#16
122.73.5
108.8112.3
Auto17.1
Teleop98.9
End6.3
red by 12.7
110.00.9
104.8105.7
Auto15.3
Teleop89.8
End6.5
Second
5577
#14
118.51.4
115.1116.6
Auto13.5
Teleop93.4
End15.7
red by 13.1
7188
#11
105.42.9
101.1104.0
Auto13.7
Teleop83.6
End8.3
Third
6958
#19
108.22.0
94.696.6
Auto14.6
Teleop86.5
End8.2
red by 16.1
5478
#31
92.02.0
95.393.4
Auto11.5
Teleop75.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed