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Red90
523989.7
6567110.0
339892.7
Blue178
5915126.1
4851112.7
3632101.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239299010020040050060090178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.00.4
103.9104.3
Auto15.3
Teleop89.8
End6.5
blue by 16.0
5915
#13
126.115.4
79.895.2
Auto14.9
Teleop99.1
End15.9
Second
3398
#25
92.717.0
65.282.2
Auto14.7
Teleop71.4
End11.0
blue by 20.1
4851
#39
112.715.5
78.894.3
Auto14.5
Teleop88.9
End12.6
Third
5239
#40DQ
89.716.9
66.983.8
Auto15.4
Teleop75.3
End2.9
blue by 12.2
3632
#30
101.916.9
66.883.7
Auto12.1
Teleop79.8
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed