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Red182
547892.0
3175124.0
7206124.2
Blue118
4758108.7
7143108.7
6616108.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2592160100300400500182118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
124.23.2
110.4113.5
Auto14.1
Teleop104.3
End6.7
red by 15.5
7143
#18
108.71.0
103.5102.5
Auto15.1
Teleop85.5
End11.5
Second
3175
#10
124.04.2
115.0119.2
Auto14.5
Teleop92.5
End15.3
red by 15.3
4758
#12
108.70.5
103.9104.5
Auto18.2
Teleop86.6
End5.6
Third
5478
#31
92.01.5
93.491.8
Auto11.5
Teleop75.5
End4.8
blue by 16.1
6616
#17
108.11.0
113.3112.2
Auto15.8
Teleop84.9
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed