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Red343
3098160.8
259194.8
7224103.4
Blue228
519795.3
123138.3
523989.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276193100300400500343228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.86.9
134.2141.1
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End19.9
red by 22.4
123
#8
138.31.3
127.3128.7
Auto19.5
Teleop106.5
End14.5
Second
7224
#26
103.40.1
105.5105.4
Auto17.8
Teleop81.4
End1.9
red by 8.1
5197
#32
95.30.4
93.593.1
Auto11.3
Teleop75.6
End12.6
Third
2591
#15
94.81.6
97.696.0
Auto12.3
Teleop74.7
End8.2
red by 5.1
5239
#40
89.70.9
89.688.8
Auto15.4
Teleop75.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed