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Red262
7145104.5
3096118.7
6567110.0
Blue198
4815126.1
4811107.9
522598.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2772280100200400500600262198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118.71.8
115.2117.0
Auto13.9
Teleop94.7
End11.5
blue by 7.4
4815
#29
126.11.2
128.9127.7
Auto12.9
Teleop95.3
End16.8
Second
110.00.6
108.6109.1
Auto15.3
Teleop89.8
End6.5
red by 2.1
107.90.0
108.2108.3
Auto15.9
Teleop88.9
End2.7
Third
7145
#28
104.51.3
103.2104.5
Auto13.6
Teleop82.7
End7.2
red by 5.6
5225
#20
98.90.5
98.498.9
Auto13.3
Teleop76.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed