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Red422
1025167.4
3098160.8
519795.3
Blue235
6099134.0
6567110.0
7143108.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344217100300400500600422235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.40.7
164.6165.2
Auto24.1
Teleop124.9
End22.8
red by 33.4
134.00.7
132.6133.3
Auto15.1
Teleop104.1
End19.4
Second
160.80.7
157.7158.4
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End19.9
red by 50.7
110.00.3
109.5109.7
Auto15.3
Teleop89.8
End6.5
Third
5197
#32
95.30.3
93.894.1
Auto11.3
Teleop75.6
End12.6
blue by 13.4
7143
#18
108.70.3
108.1108.4
Auto15.1
Teleop85.5
End11.5