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Red450
123138.3
1189178.7
2224100.4
Blue337
5555122.7
3096118.7
4815126.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366234100200300400500600700450337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.71.0
174.6175.6
Auto20.7
Teleop125.8
End32.5
red by 52.5
4815
#29
126.10.2
126.5126.3
Auto12.9
Teleop95.3
End16.8
Second
123
#8
138.30.4
136.3136.8
Auto19.5
Teleop106.5
End14.5
red by 15.6
5555
#16
122.70.3
122.2122.4
Auto17.1
Teleop98.9
End6.3
Third
2224
#24
100.40.2
99.299.4
Auto14.6
Teleop78.1
End8.7
blue by 18.4
118.70.4
117.9118.3
Auto13.9
Teleop94.7
End11.5