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Red249
1918214.9
4384144.7
7187157.4
Blue223
7056145.9
2137159.5
6121141.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions448296100200400500600700249223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
214.90.7
217.4218.1
Auto23.1
Teleop156.3
End34.1
red by 55.3
2137
#30
159.50.6
156.9156.3
Auto21.1
Teleop118.2
End20.2
Second
7187
#29
157.41.1
161.5162.6
Auto22.0
Teleop109.7
End23.6
red by 11.5
7056
#33
145.90.9
151.0151.9
Auto18.4
Teleop101.2
End23.5
Third
4384
#13
144.70.8
134.5135.3
Auto18.9
Teleop112.7
End14.9
red by 3.2
6121
#35
141.51.3
127.6128.9
Auto22.8
Teleop102.7
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsMissed89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
44%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed