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Red459
70182.5
33211.4
5046174.4
Blue268
5709102.3
6117164.0
1596166.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4662180100300400500600700459268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
211.40.0
210.7210.7
Auto23.8
Teleop156.2
End31.3
red by 45.0
1596
#27
166.41.2
161.7162.8
Auto22.1
Teleop123.3
End22.2
Second
70
#6
182.51.6
174.3175.8
Auto22.4
Teleop135.4
End23.6
red by 18.5
6117
#26
164.01.0
157.2158.2
Auto16.4
Teleop122.8
End27.2
Third
5046
#21
174.40.7
169.0169.6
Auto19.0
Teleop135.4
End20.1
red by 72.1
5709
#34
102.30.0
101.3101.3
Auto16.1
Teleop72.0
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed