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Red351
2337208.0
5230144.9
4392175.1
Blue451
6090199.8
1918214.9
70182.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335424100200300500600700800351451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.01.5
199.4200.9
Auto24.9
Teleop156.3
End25.2
blue by 6.8
214.90.5
217.8217.2
Auto23.1
Teleop156.3
End34.1
Second
4392
#23
175.10.9
173.5174.4
Auto15.4
Teleop138.2
End21.1
blue by 24.7
199.80.8
196.0196.8
Auto23.4
Teleop146.6
End30.0
Third
5230
#37
144.91.3
157.7156.3
Auto20.2
Teleop102.8
End19.9
blue by 37.6
70
#6
182.51.5
175.8177.3
Auto22.4
Teleop135.4
End23.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed45%Face the Boss oddsEarned