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Red386
7187157.4
5216154.5
5517160.8
Blue365
6121141.5
5561166.1
6087138.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359340200250300400450500386365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5517
#11
160.80.4
162.7163.1
Auto18.2
Teleop117.5
End24.2
blue by 5.3
5561
#14
166.10.1
168.4168.5
Auto18.9
Teleop118.1
End28.3
Second
7187
#29
157.40.6
161.9161.2
Auto22.0
Teleop109.7
End23.6
red by 15.9
6121
#35
141.51.1
130.8131.9
Auto22.8
Teleop102.7
End17.7
Third
5216
#25
154.50.4
153.3152.9
Auto17.5
Teleop115.9
End20.9
red by 16.0
6087
#38
138.60.7
143.7143.0
Auto19.0
Teleop100.6
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsMissed