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Red291
5517160.8
6117164.0
3620172.4
Blue358
3572158.3
4392175.1
5155177.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3373940100200300500600700800291358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#15
172.40.1
176.1175.9
Auto22.6
Teleop129.8
End20.9
blue by 5.1
5155
#16
177.50.2
179.4179.5
Auto20.6
Teleop130.6
End26.8
Second
6117
#26
164.01.4
155.8157.2
Auto16.4
Teleop122.8
End27.2
blue by 11.1
4392
#23
175.11.5
170.9172.4
Auto15.4
Teleop138.2
End21.1
Third
5517
#11
160.81.3
158.5159.8
Auto18.2
Teleop117.5
End24.2
red by 2.5
3572
#12
158.30.3
154.7155.0
Auto19.6
Teleop115.7
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed