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Red249
7187157.4
7244125.9
5980163.3
Blue571
5709102.3
5046174.4
4362191.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3033800200600800249571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5980
#36
163.30.9
162.4163.3
Auto25.1
Teleop115.9
End19.4
blue by 28.3
191.61.0
187.0188.0
Auto18.9
Teleop151.6
End22.1
Second
7187
#29
157.40.2
161.2161.0
Auto22.0
Teleop109.7
End23.6
blue by 17.0
5046
#21
174.40.2
172.4172.6
Auto19.0
Teleop135.4
End20.1
Third
7244
#31
125.91.0
125.5126.4
Auto16.5
Teleop93.9
End11.2
red by 23.6
5709
#34
102.30.4
100.3100.7
Auto16.1
Teleop72.0
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed