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Red482
5460198.1
3620172.4
5980163.3
Blue133
7226112.3
5517160.8
4819142.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4262630100200300500600700482133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
198.11.0
192.0193.0
Auto21.2
Teleop142.8
End36.1
red by 37.3
5517
#11
160.80.5
163.6163.1
Auto18.2
Teleop117.5
End24.2
Second
3620
#15
172.41.3
172.4171.1
Auto22.6
Teleop129.8
End20.9
red by 29.9
4819
#22
142.50.8
142.7143.5
Auto16.8
Teleop107.7
End19.7
Third
5980
#36
163.30.1
163.7163.8
Auto25.1
Teleop115.9
End19.4
red by 51.0
7226
#40
112.31.3
117.1115.9
Auto15.5
Teleop79.7
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
66%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed