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Red445
70182.5
4362191.6
5155177.5
Blue367
4216178.6
1918214.9
6121141.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385335200300500600445367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191.60.5
188.0188.5
Auto18.9
Teleop151.6
End22.1
blue by 23.2
214.90.9
216.6215.8
Auto23.1
Teleop156.3
End34.1
Second
70
#6
182.50.1
180.4180.4
Auto22.4
Teleop135.4
End23.6
red by 3.9
4216
#24
178.62.2
184.4182.2
Auto22.1
Teleop134.7
End24.9
Third
5155
#16
177.51.4
178.4177.0
Auto20.6
Teleop130.6
End26.8
red by 36.0
6121
#35
141.51.3
134.1135.4
Auto22.8
Teleop102.7
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsEarned