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Red224
7244125.9
5561166.1
7056145.9
Blue386
6099125.2
5980163.3
70182.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3113990100200500600700224386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5561
#14
166.10.1
167.8167.9
Auto18.9
Teleop118.1
End28.3
blue by 16.4
70
#6
182.50.4
180.4180.8
Auto22.4
Teleop135.4
End23.6
Second
7056
#33
145.91.9
151.6149.7
Auto18.4
Teleop101.2
End23.5
blue by 17.4
5980
#36
163.30.8
163.8164.6
Auto25.1
Teleop115.9
End19.4
Third
7244
#31
125.90.4
127.8127.4
Auto16.5
Teleop93.9
End11.2
red by 0.7
6099
#41
125.21.9
129.5127.7
Auto18.2
Teleop90.9
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed